I occasionally look at the US
Debt Clock, and record my impressions on this blog. The biggest
figure by far on this page, full of mind-bogglingly high figures, is
the figure of currency and credit derivatives to which the US economy
is exposed. The US financial system is becoming bolder – in the
last 6 months, it seems that they have completely thrown caution to
the winds, knowing that the rest of the developed world have little
choice but to sink or swim with them.
Currency & Credit
Derivatives Exposure of the US economy:
From April to July, 2011, there seemed
to be a 5% winding down (see this).
However, since then, the exposure has shot up in the last 5 months to
an unprecedented level. To put the current figure in context,
currency and credit derivatives exposures have risen by $155 Trillion
in 5 months – whereas the US GDP is $15 Trillion. The rise in this
figure in only 5 months is 10 times the current GDP of the US
economy; and 2-½
times the world GDP of $63.04 Trillion (World
Bank figures, quoted on Wikipedia. See this).
Keep in mind that a large part of such
exposures represent postponement of recognition of losses. This shows
that the US economy continues to think that the rest of the world is
a limitless risk sink; many ecnomists thought that the world had been
cured of this naive belief. Stupidity is alive and kicking in the
financial system!
No comments:
Post a Comment